Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MFK Zemplín, Michalovce
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Zemplín Michalovce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava?
Spartak Trnava starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zemplín Michalovce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Žilina(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Podbrezová(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zemplín Michalovce win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 2-0 Zemplín Michalovce | Super Liga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 3-0 Zemplín Michalovce | Super Liga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce 1-0 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce 1-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 0-1 Zemplín Michalovce | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 3-1 Zemplín Michalovce | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Trnava vs Zemplín Michalovce on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zemplín Michalovce score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zemplín Michalovce | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zemplín Michalovce sit 8th in Super Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Zemplín Michalovce.
- Where and when is Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Zemplín Michalovce vs Spartak Trnava is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MFK Zemplín, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.