Skellefteå vs Boden: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandNorrland - Promotion RoundKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Electrolux Home Arena, Skellefteå
The Footlab model makes Skellefteå the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Boden. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skellefteå vs Boden?
Skellefteå starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skellefteå have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Boden have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gottne(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Luleå(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Täfteå(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lucksta(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kubikenborg(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IFK Östersund(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gottne(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 12, 2026 | IFK Luleå(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Täfteå(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lucksta(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Skellefteå win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Boden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Boden 1-1 Skellefteå | Division 2 - Norrland |
| May 6, 2026 | Skellefteå 2-0 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
| May 24, 2025 | Skellefteå 2-0 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Boden 0-1 Skellefteå | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Boden 2-1 Skellefteå | Division 2 - Norrland |
| May 4, 2024 | Skellefteå 2-2 Boden | Division 2 - Norrland |
How many goals should we expect?
Skellefteå score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Boden score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skellefteå | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Boden | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skellefteå sit 1st in Division 2 - Norrland (27 points from 12 matches) and Boden sit 4th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skellefteå vs Boden?
- The Footlab model makes Skellefteå the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Boden.
- Where and when is Skellefteå vs Boden played?
- Skellefteå vs Boden is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Electrolux Home Arena, in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.