Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Skënderbeu, Korçë
The Footlab model makes Skenderbeu Korce the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Teuta Durrës. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Skenderbeu Korce (1,787) and Teuta Durrës (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skenderbeu Korce have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Teuta Durrës have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| May 4, 2026 | Laci(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burreli(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 16, 2026 | Pogradeci(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Skenderbeu Korce win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Teuta Durrës win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 1-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Skenderbeu Korce 2-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Teuta Durrës 1-1 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 2-3 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Skenderbeu Korce 0-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Teuta Durrës 3-0 Skenderbeu Korce | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce on Mar 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Skenderbeu Korce score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Teuta Durrës score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skenderbeu Korce | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Teuta Durrës | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skenderbeu Korce sit 4th in Superliga (1 points from 1 matches) and Teuta Durrës sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Skenderbeu Korce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Teuta Durrës | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës?
- The Footlab model makes Skenderbeu Korce the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Teuta Durrës.
- Where and when is Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës played?
- Skenderbeu Korce vs Teuta Durrës is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Skënderbeu, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.