Skiljebo vs Korsnäs: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hamre IP, Västerås
The Footlab model makes Skiljebo the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Korsnäs. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skiljebo vs Korsnäs?
Skiljebo starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,261).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skiljebo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Korsnäs have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Franke(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Helges(home) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viggbyholms IK(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falu BS(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Kungsängen(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gute(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enskede(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helges(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Bollstanäs(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Skiljebo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Korsnäs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Korsnäs 0-2 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Skiljebo 2-3 Korsnäs | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Korsnäs 2-2 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Skiljebo 4-0 Korsnäs | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Korsnäs 0-4 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Skiljebo score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Korsnäs score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skiljebo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Korsnäs | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skiljebo sit 3rd in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (25 points from 13 matches) and Korsnäs sit 12th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Skiljebo | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Skiljebo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 25 |
| 12 | Korsnäs | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
| 13 | Korsnäs | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skiljebo vs Korsnäs?
- The Footlab model makes Skiljebo the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Korsnäs.
- Where and when is Skiljebo vs Korsnäs played?
- Skiljebo vs Korsnäs is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hamre IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.