Skive vs Middelfart: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hancock Arena, Skive
The Footlab model makes Skive the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skive vs Middelfart?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Skive (1,698) and Middelfart (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skive have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Middelfart have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Thisted FC(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Odder(away) | 3-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roskilde(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brabrand(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bredballe(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Skive win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Middelfart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Middelfart 1-0 Skive | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Skive 1-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Skive 0-1 Middelfart | 2. Division |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Middelfart 2-1 Skive | 2. Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Middelfart 0-1 Skive | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Middelfart 0-1 Skive | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Skive score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Middelfart score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skive | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Middelfart | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skive sit 6th in 2. Division (6 points from 4 matches) and Middelfart sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middelfart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Skive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skive vs Middelfart?
- The Footlab model makes Skive the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Middelfart.
- Where and when is Skive vs Middelfart played?
- Skive vs Middelfart is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hancock Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.