Naestved vs Thisted FC: result 3-1 and analysis
2. DivisionMatchday 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
Full time
What was the result of Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Naestved won 3-1 on September 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′F. ChristensenNaestved
- 27′J. GertsenNaestved
- 56′677039Naestved
- 89′672682Thisted FC
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Naestved win at 61%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Thisted FC have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | B 93(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Skive(away) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | VSK Århus(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nykobing FC(away) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 0-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Naestved wins, 0 draws, 3 Thisted FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Thisted FC 2-0 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Naestved 0-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Naestved 2-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Thisted FC 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Naestved vs Thisted FC on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Thisted FC score 1.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Thisted FC | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naestved sit 5th in 2. Division (21 points from 15 matches) and Thisted FC sit 12th (10 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Naestved | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 10 |
A question about Naestved vs Thisted FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy