SKN ST. Polten vs First Vienna: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NV ARENA, St. Pölten
The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for First Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKN ST. Polten vs First Vienna?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate SKN ST. Polten (1,843) and First Vienna (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKN ST. Polten have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; First Vienna have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-4 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SKN ST. Polten win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 First Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | First Vienna 2-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 2-1 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 3-3 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | First Vienna 2-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | First Vienna 7-3 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | SKN ST. Polten 1-2 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; First Vienna score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| First Vienna | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKN ST. Polten sit 15th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and First Vienna sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKN ST. Polten vs First Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for First Vienna.
- Where and when is SKN ST. Polten vs First Vienna played?
- SKN ST. Polten vs First Vienna is played on April 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NV ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.