First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naturarena Hohe Warte, Wien
The Footlab model makes First Vienna the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for SKN ST. Polten. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate First Vienna (1,822) and SKN ST. Polten (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, First Vienna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; SKN ST. Polten have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-4 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 First Vienna win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SKN ST. Polten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | First Vienna 2-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 2-1 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 3-3 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | First Vienna 2-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | First Vienna 7-3 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | SKN ST. Polten 1-2 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
First Vienna score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
First Vienna sit 5th in 2. Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and SKN ST. Polten sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten?
- The Footlab model makes First Vienna the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for SKN ST. Polten.
- Where and when is First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten played?
- First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naturarena Hohe Warte, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.