SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NV ARENA, St. Pölten
The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Rapid Wien II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate SKN ST. Polten (1,843) and Rapid Wien II (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKN ST. Polten have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rapid Wien II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | WSPG Wels(away) | 2-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gloggnitz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 SKN ST. Polten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rapid Wien II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten 4-0 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Rapid Wien II 0-2 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| May 16, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 3-1 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Rapid Wien II 0-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Jun 4, 2023 | SKN ST. Polten 1-0 Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Rapid Wien II 1-5 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Wien II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Rapid Wien II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKN ST. Polten sit 15th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and Rapid Wien II sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rapid Wien II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II?
- The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Rapid Wien II.
- Where and when is SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II played?
- SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NV ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.