Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
The Footlab model makes Sturm Graz II the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sturm Graz II (1,650) and SV Kapfenberg (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; SV Kapfenberg have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sturm Graz II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 SV Kapfenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg 2-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 1-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Sturm Graz II 1-2 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | SV Kapfenberg 1-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sturm Graz II 3-3 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Kapfenberg vs Sturm Graz II on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz II sit 14th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and SV Kapfenberg sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Sturm Graz II the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg played?
- Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.