SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)NV ARENA, St. Pölten
The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
SKN ST. Polten starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKN ST. Polten have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 3-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(home) | 3-2 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-5 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leonfelden(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SKN ST. Polten win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 4-2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | SKN ST. Polten 3-1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0-4 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2024 | SKN ST. Polten 0-2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Cup |
| May 20, 2024 | SKN ST. Polten 2-2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs SKN ST. Polten on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKN ST. Polten sit 15th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz?
- The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz.
- Where and when is SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz played?
- SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is played on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at NV ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.