Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck?
Wacker Innsbruck is a heavy favourite: 1,954 Elo points against 1,650, a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Wacker Innsbruck have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC BW Linz(away) | 0-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(home) | 5-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Innsbruck score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 2.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz II sit 14th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and Wacker Innsbruck sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck?
- The Footlab model makes Wacker Innsbruck the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck played?
- Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck is played on September 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.