SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)NV ARENA, St. Pölten
The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for WSPG Wels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate SKN ST. Polten (1,818) and WSPG Wels (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKN ST. Polten have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; WSPG Wels have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC BW Linz(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(away) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tillmitsch(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Liefering(away) | 3-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 SKN ST. Polten win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 WSPG Wels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten 1-0 WSPG Wels | 2. Liga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | WSPG Wels 1-1 SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2025 | WSPG Wels 2-2 SKN ST. Polten | Cup |
Last archived meeting: SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKN ST. Polten score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; WSPG Wels score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKN ST. Polten | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| WSPG Wels | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SKN ST. Polten sit 15th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and WSPG Wels sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | WSPG Wels | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels?
- The Footlab model makes SKN ST. Polten the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for WSPG Wels.
- Where and when is SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels played?
- SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at NV ARENA, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.