First Vienna vs FC BW Linz: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Naturarena Hohe Warte, Wien
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for First Vienna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win First Vienna vs FC BW Linz?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, First Vienna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC BW Linz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Admira Wacker(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 2-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 1-4 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 First Vienna win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC BW Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | FC BW Linz 4-0 First Vienna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 2, 2024 | First Vienna 3-1 FC BW Linz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2023 | First Vienna 2-0 FC BW Linz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 17, 2023 | First Vienna 1-2 FC BW Linz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 12, 2022 | FC BW Linz 3-0 First Vienna | 2. Liga |
| Jul 22, 2022 | First Vienna 2-0 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC BW Linz vs First Vienna on Oct 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
First Vienna score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
First Vienna sit 5th in 2. Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and FC BW Linz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | First Vienna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for First Vienna vs FC BW Linz?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for First Vienna.
- Where and when is First Vienna vs FC BW Linz played?
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Naturarena Hohe Warte, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.