Škofja Loka vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 17Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Puštal, Škofja Loka
The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Škofja Loka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Škofja Loka vs Tolmin?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,492 vs 1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Škofja Loka have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrc(home) | 3-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 4-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Škofja Loka win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Tolmin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Škofja Loka 1-3 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Tolmin 0-2 Škofja Loka | 3. SNL - West |
| Jun 2, 2021 | Tolmin 5-1 Škofja Loka | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Tolmin 3-1 Škofja Loka | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Škofja Loka score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Škofja Loka | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Škofja Loka sit 7th in 3. SNL - West (3 points from 2 matches) and Tolmin sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Škofja Loka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Tolmin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Škofja Loka vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Škofja Loka.
- Where and when is Škofja Loka vs Tolmin played?
- Škofja Loka vs Tolmin is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Puštal, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.