Svoboda vs Adria: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 17Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Svoboda, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Adria the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Svoboda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svoboda vs Adria?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Svoboda (1,315) and Adria (1,389).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Svoboda vs Adria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Svoboda
Not enough data to predict the Svoboda lineup.
Adria
Not enough data to predict the Adria lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svoboda have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Adria have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dob(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 3-5 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 7-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Litija(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Svoboda wins, 0 draws, 2 Adria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Adria 4-1 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| May 1, 2021 | Adria 1-0 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Svoboda score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adria score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svoboda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Adria | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svoboda sit 14th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 9 matches) and Adria sit 9th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Adria | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | Svoboda | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Svoboda vs Adria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svoboda vs Adria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adria the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Svoboda.
- Where and when is Svoboda vs Adria played?
- Svoboda vs Adria is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Svoboda, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.