SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Carina Gubin 1-0 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | SKRA Częstochowa 3-3 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Stal BrzegvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Oct 31, 2026Stilon GorzówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 31, 2026KluczborkvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 31, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 31, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 31, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 31, 2026Sparta KatowicevsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 31, 2026SłowianinvsROW Rybnik