Match

SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa

SKRA CzęstochowaCarina Gubin

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Carina Gubin (1,717).

SKRA Częstochowa win59 %
Draw21 %
Carina Gubin win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Carina Gubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Carina Gubin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Carina Gubin 1-0 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 2, 2025SKRA Częstochowa 3-3 Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs SKRA Częstochowa on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15
Carina Gubin1.41.7111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Carina Gubin51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin?
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin played?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Carina Gubin is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SKRA Częstochowa and Carina Gubin

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