Slavija vs Kozara Gradiška: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 7Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion SRC, Istočno Sarajevo
The Footlab model makes Slavija the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Kozara Gradiška. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavija vs Kozara Gradiška?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Slavija (1,343) and Kozara Gradiška (1,303).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavija have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kozara Gradiška have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 31, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 20, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(away) | 3-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 10, 2026 | Leotar(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 3-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Laktaši(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 16, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 9, 2026 | Drina Zvornik(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Slavija win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kozara Gradiška win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška 0-3 Slavija | 1st League - RS |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška 0-1 Slavija | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Slavija 4-0 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Slavija 5-2 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Kozara Gradiška 2-1 Slavija | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Slavija 2-1 Kozara Gradiška | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Kozara Gradiška vs Slavija on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavija score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kozara Gradiška score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavija | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kozara Gradiška | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavija sit 4th in 1st League - RS (39 points from 25 matches) and Kozara Gradiška sit 4th (40 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kozara Gradiška | 29 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 34 | 40 |
| 4 | Slavija | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavija vs Kozara Gradiška?
- The Footlab model makes Slavija the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Kozara Gradiška.
- Where and when is Slavija vs Kozara Gradiška played?
- Slavija vs Kozara Gradiška is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion SRC, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.