Velež Nevesinje vs Zvijezda 09: prediction and stats
1st League - RSRS - 7Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion Nevesinje, Nevesinje
The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Zvijezda 09. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velež Nevesinje vs Zvijezda 09?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Velež Nevesinje (1,278) and Zvijezda 09 (1,319).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velež Nevesinje have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Zvijezda 09 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavija(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | FK Romanija Pale(away) | 4-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Sutjeska Foča(home) | 6-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09(away) | 1-6 | 1st League - RS |
| May 19, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(home) | 2-1 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laktaši(home) | 0-3 | 1st League - RS |
| Jun 3, 2026 | FK Vlasenica(away) | 4-1 | 1st League - RS |
| May 30, 2026 | Omarska(home) | 0-2 | 1st League - RS |
| May 27, 2026 | Famos Vojkovići(away) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| May 23, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje(home) | 6-1 | 1st League - RS |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Velež Nevesinje win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Zvijezda 09 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Zvijezda 09 6-1 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Velež Nevesinje 1-0 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Zvijezda 09 2-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
| May 14, 2025 | Velež Nevesinje 2-1 Zvijezda 09 | 1st League - RS |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Zvijezda 09 3-0 Velež Nevesinje | 1st League - RS |
Last archived meeting: Zvijezda 09 vs Velež Nevesinje on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velež Nevesinje score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zvijezda 09 score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež Nevesinje | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Zvijezda 09 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velež Nevesinje sit 3rd in 1st League - RS (39 points from 29 matches) and Zvijezda 09 sit 1st (43 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zvijezda 09 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 3 | Velež Nevesinje | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velež Nevesinje vs Zvijezda 09?
- The Footlab model makes Velež Nevesinje the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Zvijezda 09.
- Where and when is Velež Nevesinje vs Zvijezda 09 played?
- Velež Nevesinje vs Zvijezda 09 is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion Nevesinje, in the 1st League - RS.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.