Sligo Rovers vs Galway United: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Sligo
The Footlab model makes Sligo Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Galway United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Sligo Rovers (1,549) and Galway United (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sligo Rovers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Galway United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sligo Rovers win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Galway United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Galway United 3-2 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 1-4 Galway United | Premier Division |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Galway United 1-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 6-0 Galway United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Galway United 0-1 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 2-1 Galway United | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Galway United vs Sligo Rovers on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sligo Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Galway United score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sligo Rovers | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Galway United | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sligo Rovers sit 10th in Premier Division (23 points from 28 matches) and Galway United sit 7th (33 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Galway United | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 24 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 19 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?
- The Footlab model makes Sligo Rovers the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Galway United.
- Where and when is Sligo Rovers vs Galway United played?
- Sligo Rovers vs Galway United is played on September 5, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.