Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Kodeljevo, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Slovan Ljubljana the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Brežice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Slovan Ljubljana (1,466) and Brežice (1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Ljubljana have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Brežice have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 6-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Rače(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brežice score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Brežice | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Brežice sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Brežice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice?
- The Footlab model makes Slovan Ljubljana the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Brežice.
- Where and when is Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice played?
- Slovan Ljubljana vs Brežice is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Kodeljevo, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.