Dekani vs Ilirija: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Igrišče Ivan Gregorič, Dekani
The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dekani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dekani vs Ilirija?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Dekani (1,474) and Ilirija (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dekani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ilirija have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jesenice(home) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Primorje(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Krka(home) | 4-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Rudar(away) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dekani win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ilirija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ilirija 2-2 Dekani | 2. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Dekani 3-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ilirija 1-2 Dekani | 2. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Dekani 0-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dekani 0-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Ilirija 1-0 Dekani | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Dekani score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dekani sit 10th in 2. SNL (3 points from 3 matches) and Ilirija sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dekani | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dekani vs Ilirija?
- The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Dekani.
- Where and when is Dekani vs Ilirija played?
- Dekani vs Ilirija is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Igrišče Ivan Gregorič, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.