Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Kodeljevo, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Slovan Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav?
Triglav starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Ljubljana have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Triglav have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| May 10, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Slovan Ljubljana win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Triglav win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana 1-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Triglav 4-1 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Triglav 3-2 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Triglav | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Triglav score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Triglav | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Triglav sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Triglav | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav?
- The Footlab model makes Triglav the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Slovan Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav played?
- Slovan Ljubljana vs Triglav is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Kodeljevo, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.