Smail vs Bahla: prediction and stats
FA CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC)Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
The Footlab AI model makes Bahla the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Smail. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smail vs Bahla?
Bahla starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,346).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Smail vs Bahla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Smail
Not enough data to predict the Smail lineup.
Bahla
Not enough data to predict the Bahla lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smail have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Bahla have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Bidiyah Club(home) | 1-1 | Sultan Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Shabab(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Musannah(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dhofar(away) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Fanja(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sur(away) | 3-1 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Smail win, 0 draws, 2 Bahla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Smail 0-1 Bahla | Professional League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Bahla 4-1 Smail | Professional League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Smail 2-1 Bahla | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Smail score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahla score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smail | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahla | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Smail vs Bahla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smail vs Bahla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bahla the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Smail.
- Where and when is Smail vs Bahla played?
- Smail vs Bahla is played on November 12, 2026 at 01:55 PM (UTC) at Al-Seeb Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.