Sur vs Dhofar: prediction and stats
FA CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 01:50 PM (UTC)Sur Sports Complex
The Footlab AI model makes Sur the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Dhofar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sur vs Dhofar?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Sur (1,458) and Dhofar (1,434).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sur vs Dhofar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sur
4-3-3- 9M. Abagana
- 10Mohammed Khamis Al Senani
- 45Ahmed Khalfan Al Alawi
- 27Saud Al Farsi
- 7Aiman Ibrahim Hikal
- 28H. Touré
- 6B. Ouattara
- 24Abdul Khaliq Fayiz
- 12Badar Khamis Al Farsi
- 32Abdul Rahman Al Breiki
- 80Faris Al Ghaithi
Dhofar
4-3-3- 7Yazed Al Maashani
- 20Omer Al Malki
- 9Abdulaziz Al Muqbali
- 27Mataz Saleh
- 97Muthna Amer
- 5Mohammed Khadim
- 8Ali Salim Al Nahar
- 13Abdul Sallam Amur
- 36S. Atanda
- 4Thani Al Rushaidi
- 23Sulaiman Al Breiki
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sur have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dhofar have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 3-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oman Club(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 1-5 | Professional League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saham(away) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Saham(home) | 0-0 | Professional League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fanja(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ibri(away) | 3-2 | Professional League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Smail(home) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oman Club(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sur wins, 1 draw, 1 Dhofar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sur 1-0 Dhofar | Professional League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Dhofar 3-2 Sur | Professional League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Sur 1-0 Dhofar | FA Cup |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Sur 4-3 Dhofar | Professional League |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Dhofar 0-1 Sur | Professional League |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Sur 0-0 Dhofar | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sur score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dhofar score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sur | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Dhofar | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sur vs Dhofar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sur vs Dhofar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sur the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Dhofar.
- Where and when is Sur vs Dhofar played?
- Sur vs Dhofar is played on November 12, 2026 at 01:50 PM (UTC) at Sur Sports Complex, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.