Socorrense vs Carmópolis: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Wellington Elias, Nossa Senhora do Socorro, Sergipe
The Footlab AI model makes Socorrense the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Carmópolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Socorrense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Socorrense (1,400) and Carmópolis (1,417).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Socorrense vs Carmópolis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Socorrense
Not enough data to predict the Socorrense lineup.
Carmópolis
4-3-3- SSorriso
- AAllan Santos
- WWalisson
- KKennidy
- JJosé Éverton
- PPedro Victor Cardoso Sobral
- DDaniel Santos
- DDudu Paraíba
- TThierry
- FFelipe
- BBruno Mateus
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Socorrense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Carmópolis have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Olímpico SE(away) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Desportiva Aracaju(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Barra SE(home) | 0-5 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Santa Cruz SE(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Cotinguiba(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Flamengo SE(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guarany SE(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lagarto(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | América SE(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Falcon(away) | 2-3 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Socorrense score 0.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 9; Carmópolis score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socorrense | 0.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 1/9 | 5/9 |
| Carmópolis | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
A question about Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Socorrense vs Carmópolis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Socorrense the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Carmópolis.
- Where and when is Socorrense vs Carmópolis played?
- Socorrense vs Carmópolis is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Wellington Elias, in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.