Caninde vs Socorrense: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio André Avelino, Canindé de São Francisco, Sergipe
The Footlab AI model makes Caninde the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Socorrense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caninde wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caninde vs Socorrense?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Caninde (1,434) and Socorrense (1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caninde vs Socorrense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caninde
Not enough data to predict the Caninde lineup.
Socorrense
Not enough data to predict the Socorrense lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caninde have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Socorrense have 3, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Carmópolis(away) | 0-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Olímpico SE(home) | 3-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 6-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 2-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Olímpico SE(home) | 1-7 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Flamengo SE(home) | 2-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Olímpico SE(away) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Desportiva Aracaju(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Barra SE(home) | 0-5 | Sergipano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caninde score 1.9 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Socorrense score 0.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caninde | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Socorrense | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3 | 2/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Caninde vs Socorrense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caninde vs Socorrense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caninde the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Socorrense.
- Where and when is Caninde vs Socorrense played?
- Caninde vs Socorrense is played on November 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio André Avelino, in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.