Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar: result 2-2 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kasarani Annex Stadium, Nairobi
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What was the result of Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar?
Sofapaka and Mara Sugar drew 2-2 on October 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′291456Mara Sugar
- 66′621751Mara Sugar
- 72′621752Sofapaka
- 90′614458Sofapaka
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sofapaka have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mara Sugar have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | AFC Leopards(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Bidco United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | Shield Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sofapaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mara Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sofapaka 1-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Sofapaka | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sofapaka vs Mara Sugar on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sofapaka score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofapaka | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sofapaka sit 18th in FKF Premier League (19 points from 34 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 51 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy