Sogndal II vs Gneist: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fosshaugane Campus, Sogndal
The Footlab model makes Sogndal II the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Gneist. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sogndal II vs Gneist?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Sogndal II (1,552) and Gneist (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sogndal II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gneist have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fana(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Askøy(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Førde(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vard(away) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Førde(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fana(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vard(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Brann II(home) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 2-6 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sogndal II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gneist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Gneist 4-6 Sogndal II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sogndal II score 2.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gneist score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal II | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gneist | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sogndal II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (24 points from 16 matches) and Gneist sit 12th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sogndal II | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 24 |
| 12 | Gneist | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 48 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sogndal II vs Gneist?
- The Footlab model makes Sogndal II the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for Gneist.
- Where and when is Sogndal II vs Gneist played?
- Sogndal II vs Gneist is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fosshaugane Campus, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.