Åsane II vs Vard: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Myrdal kunstgress 2, Ulset
The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Åsane II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Åsane II vs Vard?
Vard starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Åsane II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vard have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Stord(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Austevoll(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(away) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Os(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Åsane II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Vard 3-1 Åsane II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Åsane II score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vard score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Åsane II | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Vard | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Åsane II sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (14 points from 16 matches) and Vard sit 6th (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vard | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 25 |
| 11 | Åsane II | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Åsane II vs Vard?
- The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Åsane II.
- Where and when is Åsane II vs Vard played?
- Åsane II vs Vard is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Myrdal kunstgress 2, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.