Match

Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands

Solihull MoorsNewcastle United U21

The Footlab model makes Solihull Moors the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Solihull Moors (1,744) and Newcastle United U21 (1,716).

Solihull Moors win45 %
Draw23 %
Newcastle United U21 win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Newcastle United U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Solihull Moors
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Southend(home)1-3National League
Aug 18, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)1-3National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Boston United(home)0-2National League
Aug 8, 2026Harrogate Town(away)2-5National League
Aug 1, 2026Northampton(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Newcastle United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Tamworth(away)3-5National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026Swansea City U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Manchester United U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Solihull Moors score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Solihull Moors1.41.939/1510/15
Newcastle United U211.52.028/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21?
The Footlab model makes Solihull Moors the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21 played?
Solihull Moors vs Newcastle United U21 is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Solihull Moors and Newcastle United U21

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