Somaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma
The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,678 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 1-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Menemen FK(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Galata(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somaspor | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Somaspor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
- The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Somaspor.
- Where and when is Somaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?
- Somaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027ElazığsporvsAdana Demirspor
- Jan 24, 2027HataysporvsÇorluspor 1947
- Jan 24, 2027Kastamonusporvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Jan 24, 2027Menemen FKvsMuş Sport Klübü
- Jan 24, 2027ŞanlıurfasporvsSebat Gençlikspor
- Jan 24, 2027Isparta 32 SporvsAliağa FAŞ
- Jan 24, 2027ErbaasporvsAnkaraspor
- Jan 24, 2027Arnavutköy BelediyesporvsGüzide Gebzespor