Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor?
Elazığspor is a heavy favourite: 1,891 Elo points against 1,463, a 428-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 1-8 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 0-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elazığspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Adana Demirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | Elazığspor 0-2 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 22, 2018 | Adana Demirspor 0-1 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Elazığspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Adana Demirspor 2-2 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Elazığspor 4-2 Adana Demirspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Adana Demirspor 1-0 Elazığspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor on Mar 16, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Adana Demirspor | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Adana Demirspor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor played?
- Elazığspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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