Hércules II vs Ontinyent 1931: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, Alacant
The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Hércules II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hércules II vs Ontinyent 1931?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Hércules II (1,686) and Ontinyent 1931 (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hércules II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ontinyent 1931 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Villarreal III(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Soneja(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hércules II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ontinyent 1931 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931 0-1 Hércules II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hércules II 1-0 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Ontinyent 1931 vs Hércules II on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hércules II score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ontinyent 1931 score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules II | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ontinyent 1931 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hércules II sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (41 points from 34 matches) and Ontinyent 1931 sit 8th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ontinyent 1931 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 48 |
| 11 | Hércules II | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 31 | 46 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hércules II vs Ontinyent 1931?
- The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Hércules II.
- Where and when is Hércules II vs Ontinyent 1931 played?
- Hércules II vs Ontinyent 1931 is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Juan Antonio Samaranch, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.