Sorrento vs AZ Picerno: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab model makes Sorrento the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for AZ Picerno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sorrento vs AZ Picerno?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Sorrento (1,725) and AZ Picerno (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sorrento have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; AZ Picerno have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giugliano(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sorrento win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 AZ Picerno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno 0-0 Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Sorrento 1-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 29, 2025 | AZ Picerno 2-0 Sorrento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sorrento 1-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 11, 2024 | AZ Picerno 2-0 Sorrento | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sorrento 0-2 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: AZ Picerno vs Sorrento on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sorrento score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Picerno score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sorrento | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| AZ Picerno | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AZ Picerno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sorrento vs AZ Picerno?
- The Footlab model makes Sorrento the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for AZ Picerno.
- Where and when is Sorrento vs AZ Picerno played?
- Sorrento vs AZ Picerno is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.