Team Altamura vs Bari: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
The Footlab model makes Team Altamura the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Team Altamura vs Bari?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Team Altamura (1,752) and Bari (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Team Altamura have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bari have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cavese(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 8, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Team Altamura score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Altamura | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Bari | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Team Altamura vs Bari?
- The Footlab model makes Team Altamura the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bari.
- Where and when is Team Altamura vs Bari played?
- Team Altamura vs Bari is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Tonino D'Angelo, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.