South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory: result 1-1 and analysis
Australia CupFinalKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:35 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory?
South Melbourne and Melbourne Victory drew 1-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 95′D. GenreauMelbourne Victory
- 117′Maximilian MikkolaSouth Melbourne
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Melbourne Victory win at 56%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
South Melbourne
- 7D. Yoo
- 10Bul Juach
- 11Yuki Uchida
- 16A. Cocks
- 21S. Pasquali
- 27J. Painter-Andrews
- 3Jordan Lampard
- 4Marco Jankovic
- 17T. Giannakopoulos
- 23J. Eliopoulos
- 1Javier López
Melbourne Victory
- 44C. Nduka
- 8J. Valadon
- 11Clarismario Rodrigues
- 14M. Grimaldi
- 23K. Jelacic
- 3J. Davidson
- 15T. Lockyer
- 16J. Inserra
- 18F. Lino
- 22X. Stella
- 25J. Duncan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Melbourne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Melbourne Victory have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lions(home) | 3-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sunshine Georgies(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Viettel(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kingborough Lions(away) | 4-0 | Australia Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
South Melbourne score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Melbourne Victory score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Melbourne Victory | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy