Southampton vs Grimsby: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on March 1, 2023 at 07:15 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Grimsby?
Grimsby won 1-2 on March 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′G. HolohanGrimsby (pen.)
- 50′G. HolohanGrimsby (pen.)
- 65′D. Ćaleta-CarSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Grimsby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Chelsea(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Northampton(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Gillingham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Colchester(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy