Burnley vs Fleetwood Town: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup5th RoundKick-off on March 1, 2023 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Fleetwood Town?
Burnley won 1-0 on March 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′C. RobertsBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Huddersfield(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Millwall(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Watford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Preston(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Plymouth(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Peterborough(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Charlton(away) | 2-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy