Southampton vs Middlesbrough: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on May 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
Southampton won 2-1 on May 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′R. McGreeMiddlesbrough
- 45′R. StewartSouthampton
- 116′S. CharlesSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Middlesbrough have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| May 2, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| May 2, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southampton win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Middlesbrough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Middlesbrough 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Middlesbrough 4-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton | Championship |
| May 13, 2017 | Middlesbrough 1-2 Southampton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Southampton on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-1 points from 2 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy