Southampton vs Millwall: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 20, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Millwall?
Southampton won 1-0 on August 20, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 18′GulySouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Millwall have 2, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2011 | Ipswich(away) | 5-2 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Barnsley(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Torquay(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2011 | Peterborough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Reading(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 3.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Millwall score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| Millwall | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy