Southampton vs Nottingham Forest: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 10, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Nottingham Forest?
Southampton won 3-2 on September 10, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 7′M. DerbyshireNottingham Forest
- 8′Rickie LambertSouthampton
- 24′Rickie LambertSouthampton
- 42′R. MajewskiNottingham Forest
- 82′Rickie LambertSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 6 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 2, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2011 | Swindon Town(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2011 | Ipswich(away) | 5-2 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Barnsley(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2011 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2011 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Millwall(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 7; Nottingham Forest score 1.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy