Southampton vs Stoke City: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Stoke City?
Stoke City won 1-2 on August 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 54′L. BakerStoke City
- 76′S. ThomasStoke City
- 79′T. Harwood-BellisSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Stoke City have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Northampton(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Wrexham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Brighton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Espanyol(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Walsall(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Derby(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Burnley(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Wolves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Southampton win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Southampton 3-2 Stoke City | League Cup |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Southampton 0-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Stoke City 0-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Southampton 0-0 Stoke City | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Stoke City 2-1 Southampton | Premier League |
| May 21, 2017 | Southampton 0-1 Stoke City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Stoke City on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-4 points from 1 matches) and Stoke City sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Stoke City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy