Preston vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Preston. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Southampton?
Southampton is a heavy favourite: 2,075 Elo points against 1,766, a 309-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Preston vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Preston
3-4-2-1- 10C. Lang
- 7A. Devine
- 15J. Thompson
- 27L. Leroy
- 17S. Mills
- 20L. Gibbs
- 11T. Small
- 14J. Storey
- 24O. Offiah
- 16A. Hughes
- 1D. Iversen
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 4F. Downes
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 27K. Matsuki
- 7Léo Scienza
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 3R. Manning
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Southampton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Preston win, 1 draw, 3 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Preston 1-3 Southampton | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Southampton 0-2 Preston | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Southampton 3-0 Preston | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Preston 2-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Southampton 2-1 Preston | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Preston vs Southampton on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 24th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Southampton sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 16 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
A question about Preston vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Southampton played?
- Preston vs Southampton is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.