Southern District vs Kwai Tsing: result 2-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on February 19, 2012 at 07:15 AM (UTC)Aberdeen Sports Ground, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Southern District vs Kwai Tsing?
Southern District won 2-1 on February 19, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southern District have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kwai Tsing have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | Wanchai(home) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Yuen Long(away) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Double Flower(home) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Shatin(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Resources Capital(away) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | Shatin(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 2-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Rangers(away) | 1-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Happy Valley(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Yuen Long(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kwai Tsing score 0.9 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kwai Tsing | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy