Shatin vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Shatin. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shatin vs Southern District?
Southern District starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,429 vs 1,303).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shatin vs Southern District
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shatin
4-3-3- 28Hoi-To Lai
- 9J. Scott
- 22Tsz-Yin So
- 4R. Cheng Chun-Wang
- 8Lam Hok Hei
- 4Cheng Chun Wang Ryan
- 45M. Ansah
- 30J. Arthur
- 47S. Takatori
- 31Law Tsz Chun
- 93M. F. Ho
Southern District
4-3-3- 12Kak Yi Lai
- 22S. Golubović
- 9Poon Pui Hin
- 11S. Sasaki
- 99Cheng Tsz-Sum
- 10Wong Ho Chun Anson
- 2C. Hall
- 3Fabio Erins
- 16Chak Ting Fung
- 4K. Kawase
- 1Ng Wai Him
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Southern District have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 0-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | North District(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | North District(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Shatin wins, 1 draw, 3 Southern District wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2015 | Southern District 6-0 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 21, 2015 | Shatin 1-4 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Southern District 3-1 Shatin | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Shatin 1-1 Southern District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Southern District vs Shatin on Apr 15, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Southern District | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
A question about Shatin vs Southern District?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shatin vs Southern District?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southern District the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Shatin.
- Where and when is Shatin vs Southern District played?
- Shatin vs Southern District is played on December 13, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.