Southport vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Harborough Town?
Harborough Town starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Harborough Town have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Harborough Town | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Harborough Town sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Harborough Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Harborough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Southport.
- Where and when is Southport vs Harborough Town played?
- Southport vs Harborough Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.