Buxton vs King's Lynn Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for King's Lynn Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs King's Lynn Town?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; King's Lynn Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buxton win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 King's Lynn Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Buxton 1-2 King's Lynn Town | National League - North |
| Nov 25, 2025 | King's Lynn Town 3-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Buxton 0-1 King's Lynn Town | National League - North |
| Oct 19, 2024 | King's Lynn Town 2-0 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Buxton 2-2 King's Lynn Town | National League - North |
| Oct 7, 2023 | King's Lynn Town 1-3 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs King's Lynn Town on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; King's Lynn Town score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| King's Lynn Town | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and King's Lynn Town sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | King's Lynn Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs King's Lynn Town?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for King's Lynn Town.
- Where and when is Buxton vs King's Lynn Town played?
- Buxton vs King's Lynn Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.