Spaeri vs Dila: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dila the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Spaeri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spaeri vs Dila?
Dila starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spaeri have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Dila have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 3-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gagra(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(away) | 5-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Meshakhte(home) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gori(away) | 2-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Spaeri win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dila win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Dila 3-1 Spaeri | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Spaeri 0-1 Dila | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Spaeri 1-2 Dila | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Dila 2-0 Spaeri | Super Cup |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Spaeri 0-2 Dila | David Kipiani Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spaeri score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dila score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaeri | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Dila | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spaeri sit 9th in Erovnuli Liga (23 points from 22 matches) and Dila sit 7th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dila | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 22 | 30 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spaeri vs Dila?
- The Footlab model makes Dila the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Spaeri.
- Where and when is Spaeri vs Dila played?
- Spaeri vs Dila is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.