Spain vs Denmark: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Spain vs Denmark?
Spain won 1-0 on October 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 79′Martín ZubimendiSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Denmark have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Serbia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | England(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 9, 2024 | France(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Germany(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Serbia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Switzerland(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Germany(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Serbia(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2024 | England(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Denmark | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy